I'm going with the Kings here and it's not because Kevin Martin returns tonight. Martin will not be a factor he will get limited minutes in his return. The biggest additon will be Tyreke Evans who was absent in the 10 point loss a few weeks ago. Evans the favorite possibly for rookie of the year does it all scores, rebounds, and passes the ball. Philly was out rebounded by 17 and still lost to the Knicks one game ago proving that even when they dominate they can lose.
They won't dominate down low against the Kings as the Kings out rebounded them without Evans who can rebound a little bit. They out rebounded them 40-38 in that game. The Kings come in a with a strong revenge factor. The 76ers actually play worse at home if you can believe it as they are 5-13. Granted the Kings are just 3-13 on the road but they do have good wins @ Chicago, Milwaukee and Utah and played very well in a loss by 1 point in LA to the Lakers. Philly comes into this game 10-25 ATS in their last 35 games at home. They are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 on 1 day rest all this season. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
The Kings should be able to do what they do and will prove that they are the better team right now and get a much needed win in the series. Kings are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 following a SU loss by 10+ so they have that extra motivation to go along with revenge. They are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 following an ATS loss.
Strictly a situational and advantage play here.
I think the Wizards give the Bulls some match up problems here. The Bulls came off a big win last night to the Celtics, but the Celtics are beat up right now and I think Vegas is giving them more credit here than they certainly deserve.
The Bulls will be flying home on 0 days rest a situation they do not play well under. In fact they are 1-7 straight up and 2-6 ATS in the last 8 games on 0 days rest. They play their worst defense in this situation and I believe Haywood, Butler, and Jamison will all have huge games for the Wizards.
The last time the Bulls flew home on 0 days rest off a big win they lost to Toronto 78-110 and if I do recall they were 6 point favorites as well as playing on a Friday night.
