Verified Play Archive
Red Sox -140
Time Stamped Release
Jul 11, 2015 - 12:00 AM
I like the Sox here tonight. More so I am going to fade Ivan Nova. Despite his ERA under 3, he is definitely not the same pitcher after 3 starts off the disable list. He's been pretty lucky in each start as he nearly has a 1:1 K/9 vs. BB/9 ratio as his xFIP shows his ERA should be closer to 5 or higher. He's been extremely lucky and I think that runs out here against the Red Sox who are playing their best baseball at the moment. They are scoring over 5 runs per 9 over their last 10 overall games and they are coming off a loss at home to the Yankess which I like them to bounce back with their young gun Eduardo Rodriguez going posting a 1.17 WHIP and a 3.69 ERA overall and his raw stats are right in line with that. Even better news is the Yankees have never faced him and they typically struggle against new starters. Take the Sox here.
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