Let's go with the Phils on Saturday they are a solid road team even when they are not cheating. It will be Blanton vs. Narveson. Narveson will have his hands filled here today as the Phillies despite having a lot of heavy lefties in the line up have hit really well off LHP. Phillies last 5 games .303 average 6.41 runs per 9 vs. LHP, and .281 5.70/9 on the road this year vs. LHP. This will be Narveson's first start vs. the Phils, but he has yet to go deep into games as his starts consist of 3,5, 5.2, 5, 5, 6, 5.2 IP. That can only mean one thing.
Bullpen and the Brewers bullpen is about as bad as any with an ERA of 9.72 L5, 6.68 ERA L10 and at home they have a 6.67. Milwaukee also struggles to hit righties with a .247 average at home and just 3.79 runs per 9 vs. RHP. Philly is 12-5 in their last 17 meetings with the Brewers and 20-9 in Blanton's last 29 starts as a favorite. Milwaukee now dogs in this match up after the line moved are just 4-12 in their last 16 as a home dog.
Why run line as a bonus? 81% of the Phillies wins have been by more than a win while 85% of the Brewers 20 losses have been by more than 1 run.
