Hudson has pitched extremely well this season with a 2.64 ERA on the year. They also have a 1.83 ERA in his last three starts and in his career which includes 6 starts vs. the Dbacks he has a 1.63 ERA. The Braves are starting to hit now to and I expect them to start living up to their teams expectations again. Now that Yunel Escobar is back in the line up things can only get better. They face another ace in Dan Harren, but the Braves have a .343 average vs. Haren in 67 AB.
Haren has pitched well on the road this year in 29.1 IP with a 2.76 ERA which is why I like the under as a small bonus. Look for Haren to throw a solid game in a pitcher duel here today, but the Diamondbacks bullpen has been atrocious. 10.07 ERA in their last 10 games 11.70 in last 5 just won't cut it here. The Braves are hitting .265 at home vs. RHP with 5.16 runs per 9. Add in the 2.36 bullpen ERA and you have a team with a solid starter going today that should win the game.
Dbacks are just 10-25 in their last 35 road games vs. a RH starter while the Braves are 23-7 in Hudson's last 30 starts at home vs. a losing team. Dbacks are also 1-6 in their last 7 vs. RH starter.
