The Astros are an extremely young team, one that relies too heavily on the HR ball. They were lucky enough to play against the Yankees at Yankee Stadium the first game, a team and offense that did not seem to exist. Yankee Stadium is #4 in HR factor, while the Royals Stadium is #25 so I would believe this is a bad match up for the Royals. Yordana Ventura also does not give up a lot of HR's and he is the type of pitcher that dominates come playoff team with his 97mph fastball. Ventura has actually been even better vs. RHB holding them to an OPS nearly 100 points and he will face 6 of the 9 hitters from the right side. He's held this Astros team to a .621 OPS without any HR in 3 starts and 54 AB. Houston is also 19-41 in their last 60 road starts and send McHugh to the mound.

McHugh has done a great job, but has a 1.31 WHIP on the road with a 4.05 ERA. He's backed by a bullpen that is very good, but on the road they are over a run higher than what the Royals bullpen has done at home. All in all I just trust the experience of this Royals team over the youth and exciting Astros team that everyone is starting to buy into. I think we have more value here on the Royals who have the better starting pitcher going. Ventura not enjoying as good of a season, but has been very good down the stretch.

Where to find Freddy?