I think this game goes easily over the total. Each team has 4 days of rest here, and that usually favors the offense not the defense. We also get 2 teams here that are in the top 20 in plays per game, and can put up a lot of points featuring 2 rookie coaches with offensive backgrounds. Houston should score in the 50's in my opinion and SMU won't be able to really run the ball and will be playing from behind all game long with lots of passes. I would lean towards Houston actually covering this large spread, but I'm not a fan of laying that type of chalk so I will play the over here which I feel will easily cash.
We have 2 dual threat QB's that can keep the chains moving, a lot of total plays, a total with some value after opening at 74, and Houston coming off a game where they did not score a lot of points which is giving us some value here. Houston played at Tulsa won by 14 which was really impressive, because they faced a Tulsa team coming off a bye with a lot of preparation time, and now they face a team with 4 days that has given up 48 points or more to 4 of their 5 opponents. This will get ugly and I don't see Houston in an in state televised game slowing it down at all as they cruise 63-28
