Marshall has some depth despite some injury issues and I really think there is value in taking them by a field goal. First off this is a team that is not as offensively talented as last year, but they are still able to move the ball on the ground which is exactly what Southern Miss biggest weakness is ranking 124th in run defense from a YPC perspective. Now I have been high on Southern Miss and have backed them twice already to win, but now they just don't have the same value and since this line has dropped 4 points I"m going to take Marshall.
Marshall's defense will actually bet the difference in my opinion. This unit is stout one of the best pass defensive units allowing <50% completions, <5 yds/att, 86.3 QB Rating, and 5 TD/8INT's. This is the best defense that Nick Mullens has faced since Miss State where the QB did not play well and they only scored 16 points. Southern Miss is also heavily penalized team which typically does not translate well on the road. I'm going to play Marshall and if you are interested in the total I would lean towards the under
