Anytime NC State stepped up in competition last year they lost and they particularly struggled vs. solid defenses. NC State lost last week against Louisville in their own building and now travel on the short week to play against Virginia Tech who lost at home to Pittsburgh. On paper it looks like a nice night for Frank Beamer and the Hokies to get a nice win, but I'm actually going to lean towards NC State in this one as I have definitely talked myself out of backing the Hokies.

First of all the Hokies defense is not as good as they were supposed to be ranking 109th in yards per carry, and 102nd overall in yards per play. Not a very good sign going up against NC State which features a very good duo at QB in Jacoby Brisset and Matthew Dayes at RB. Virginia Tech will have it's hand full with an offense that is dangerous in the red zone scoring TD's on 21 of their 24 possessions. Granted it those have been against lesser defenses, but Virginia Tech has not shown enough this year to make me believe and the fact that they mustered just 100 yards of total offense last week against Pitt leads me to believe that NC State should win this game.

Virginia Tech has not been able to run the ball, NC State has been better at stopping it. Virginia Tech probably gets Brewer back at QB, but he'll struggle against this secondary, and NC State still has a very under rated defense that should keep them in this game. Actually NC State also rarely gets penalized making it much easier for an offense that converts 47% of their 3rd downs compared to 25% allowed. Virginia Tech comes in at 39% and 30% allowed and has averaged 5 more penalties per game. NC state must take care of the ball and not make the mistake sand they've been able to do that all year and that will be enough for them to come out of here with a win.

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