The difference in this game is simple, bullpen. The Royals bullpen has been strong with a 2.70 ERA over their last 10 games while Baltimore is struggling of late 7.88 over their last 3 games alone. Also Baltimore goes up against a lefty in Jeff Francis who has struggled in his last two starts thus the nice value at -122 for us today. He faced the two two hitting teams vs. LHP this year in the Rangers and Indians so him struggling was not a surprise to me. The Royals are the #1 home team in runs scored with 96 and I believe they beat Baltimore wh is #17 vs. LHP and 26th in average .226 and 23rd in OPS vs. LHP with .670. They have not faced Francis in years and in his 3 starts at home he has a 2.70 ERA. Brad Bergessen is 7-19 in his last 26 starts vs. a winning team and 4-13 in his last 17 on 4 days rest including 5-17 in his last 22 on the road. Alex Gordon is hitting .388 at Kaufman Stadium and should enjoy another big game as he has a 15 game hitting streak vs. the Orioles and 2-4 agaisnt Bergesen.
