Although this line continues to drop in our favor I like the Reds at home. All season long they have been one of the most dangerous teams vs. LHP. In fact they lead the league in OPS at .880 and they'll face Chris Narverson today which should get their bats clicking a little bit we hope. The Brewers have been red hot but now they face a team on the road where they have been just awful. The Reds are 21-5 in their last 26 meetings with the Brewers and the Reds are 27-9 in their last 36 home games vs. LH starters. This season vs. LHP at home they are hitting .306 average and 7.36 runs per 9. Brewers are not even averaging 3 runs per game on the road and vs. lefties it gets worse with just a .207 average and 1.56 runs per 9. I still like the Brewers as favorites of this division but I don't think they can take care of business today against Travis Wood as Wood has a trending negative ERA as he's been a bit unlucky thus far this season. His XFIP is over a run lower and the .321 BABIP tells a bit of the story so I expect some good stuff from Wood who in 3 career starts vs. the Brewers has a 2.95 ERA and 0.76 WHIP! Naverson on the other hand gave up 7 ER in just 2.1 IP vs. the Reds earlier this eason.
Jays -107 3.5*
FL/ARI U9.5 +102 3* DOG of theday
