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I love the Royals Dan Duffy has been effective in 3 starts keeping his team in the game. He had an impressive performance on the road vs. Texas who just kills lefties and now he has the confidence going back home vs. the Twins who are 27th vs. LHP in OPS. Twins have never seen Duffy before so I think they'll really struggle while Pavano has pitched against the Royals countless times including at Kaufman earlier this year where he gave up 7 runs 12 hits in 5.1 IP. Collectively the Royals have a 117 ab and a .308 average with a .861 OPS vs. Pavano.


Toronto is the #2 team in the league in OPS vs. LHP and I have a hard time not backing them despite on the road vs. Britton who has been amazing at home with a 1.91 ERA and an overall ERA at 2.93, but he's been a tad lucky which is why his trending ERA (xfip) is at 3.91 nearly 1 run higher than his actualy ERA. His .254 BABIP is lucky and I expect the Jays to get some runs off him they have a .301 average on the road vs. LHP this year.


Buehrle has been good at home, but the White Sox have not been able to hit at all. Tigers kill lefties they are #11 overall but 13-3 in their last 16 vs. LH starters while the White Sox are 4-9 in their last 13 vs. LHP. Again I'll back the team that's been able to hit lefties. Expect a strong 2nd start from Oliver he impressive me in his first start.


Angels have played well vs. the Yankees at home, but the Yankees have a .963 OPS in 152 AB vs. Weaver who is due for a clunker. Last 10 games the Yankees are averaging nearly 2 runs better per game than the Angels I'll take the value here.

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