Capuono is far better than his numbers suggest and the Pirates struggle big time vs. lefties they are 27th in the league with a .654 OPS vs. lefties. They score just 2.83 runs per 9 vs. lefties at home. Kevin Correia has been solid but pitching way over his abilities in my opinion with a 3.64 ERA. He's been lucky with a .271 BABIP and I expect that to start to come back to the norm for him. He hasn't pitched well at home with a 5.76 ERA and the Mets are 10-4 in their last 14 meetings with Pit.
Jays value play big here they are the #1 team in the league in OPS vs. LHP at .859. They have beaten up Lester in the past. This would be a larger play if the Jays weren't so hot right now.
