Nolasco should be able to help end the losing streak at home for the Marlins as he's 5-1 lifetime vs. the Dbacks with a 3.38 ERA. Zack Duke makes the start for the Dbacks and the Marlins have a history of killing left handed pitching. They have 49 AB .347 average and a .828 OPS vs. Duke and they are #9 team vs. LHP with a .735 OPS. Last year they were in the top 5. Dbacks have been hot, but every hot streak must come to an end and with Nolasco pitching excellent at home 3.01 ERA in 8 starts this year and a 3.15 during night starts and his success vs. the Dbacks I believe this to be the best bet of the day.
Braves have been awful vs. LHP 27th in OPS .653 and on the road they are putting up just 2.31 runs per 9 vs. LHP. Atlanta has had huge problems hitting Wandy Rodriguez 101 AB .198 average with a .580 OPS. Astros have had some success vs. Lowe so I think we get great value here.
Both pitchers have had success against each team and I just think Cinci going out west facing a solid starter in Kuroda spells troubles for scoring runs.
