Oswalt has been in a slump as of late with an ERA over 5 over his last 3 starts what concerns me more is his K/9 ratio is down over 2 k's per 9 on his career average and he's been lucky with a 3.38 ERA as his Xfip is at 4.06. Cardinals have not gotten swept by the Phillies at home in 5 years and they are too good to get swept here today. Carpenter has had a lot of success vs. the Phillies in 63 AB the Phils have a .203 average vs. Carpenter as he went 8 IP 5 hits and 1 ER in a start last year. The Phillies score under 4 runs per game on the road and the Cardinals are 18-8 in their last 26 game #3's and 52-19 in Carpenter's last 70 as a home favorite. Philly may be hot right now but I think they are running into the wrong game 3 against the wrong pitcher and team. Cardinals were winning when Pujols was slumping through the first two months of the season and I think Berkman/Holliday can carry this team while he's out.
