Love the Brewers tonight despite missing Ryan Braun. They have plenty of players who have a lot of success against the Young Leake. Morgan, Betancourt, Fielder, and Weeks combined are 14-25. That's a huge chunk of this line up that has had success against a road pitcher. The Brewers are 31-13 at home for a reason they hit and we get great value here with Greinke because he's made some mistakes in big moments and has been the most unluckiest pitcher this year. I still think he's going to have a huge second half and in two starts vs. the Reds he's got 18 K's over 15 IP. He's #1 in the league in K/9 ratio for starting pitchers and his xFIP is 2.17 which is much lower than his actual. Brewers are 7-0 in his home starts despite his home ERA he's kept them in games and it doesn't hurt that Milwaukee is scoring 5.43 runs per 9 vs. RHP and their bullpen has a 3.51 ERA at home too. Cinci just 3.92 runs per 9 vs. RHP on the road and they are also in a bit of a slump batting just .245 wtih 3.52 runs per 9 vs. RHP over their last 10. Reds are 18-38 in their last 56 road games vs. a winning team. They have a combined .333 average without Braun over 45 at bats vs. Leake.
Twins keep getting it done. While I think Blackburn continues to struggle because he just isn't that good he's been excellen in two starts vs. the White Sox and Floyd well it can't get much worse. Over his last 4 starts vs. the Twins he's given up 50 base runners in 25.1 IP along with 23 ER. Minnesota has 121 AB collectively a .331 average and .926 OPS. Twins are really hitting as of late and the White Sox are not. 5.36 runs per 9 vs. 2.85 per 9 tells the story over the last 10 games. Also in division games. The Twins just dominate they have dominated the White Sox and it's because of their pitching. Floyd is 3-14 in his last 17 vs. AL Central while Blackburn is 16-5!
