After losing 2 of three to the Royals the Hot Twins look to even the series at 2 a piece and I think they'll do that. They are 13-0 in Brian Duensing's last home starts as a favorite. Twins are also 28-11 in their last 39 meetings with the Royals. Duensing has been great during day starts with a 2.70 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. He's got a 2.77 ERA before this year during day starts so he likes the day games and I think he takes advantage of his success vs. the Royals in 6 career starts he's 5-1 with a 2.03 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Royals just 16-42 in their last 58 as a dog and 11-40 in their last 51 road games vs. a LH starter.
There has been no better starter than Jurrjens, that is for sure. He's 7-1 with a 1.78 ERA at home and 3-0 with a 1.82 ERA during day starts. He's got a 2.75 ERA in his last 6 starts vs. the Nationals who have a .593 OPS vs. him in 87 combined at bats while Atlanta has had success for Gorzelanny. Uggla, Prado, Heyward are 6-14 with a HR. Atlanta is 16-1 in Jurrjens starts as a -151 to -200 favorite.
