I like the Reds chances here today as the Braves bullpen that has dominated the league has been a little shaky with a 5.52 bullpen in their last 10 games. Reds at home hit righties .255 4.92 runs per 9 and have a 2.79 ERA as they face righty Derek Lowe. Cinci have a .750 OPS vs. LOWE OVER 141 AB and he makes a day start against the #2 day offense as the Reds have a .788 ops and score 5.05 runs per game durin gday games. On the other hand the Braves are at 4.06 runs per day game and .650 ops. Bailey faces the Braves and he's got a 2.39 ERA at home and I like the fact that the hot Braves haven't faced him before so I expect them to cool off big time here today as the Reds bounce back from last night.
