I like the Brewers here today big time especially following a loss to a team that is pretty much dead since the trade deadline and are just 11-43 in the Pirates last 54 meetings wiht the Brewers. I think the only reason the Brewers lost game #2 yesterday was because it's very hard to sweep a double header. Look for the Brewers to come back strong here they are 10-2 in their last 12 road games. Estrada has been solid for the Brewers as he went 5 innigns given up 1 base runner in his last start vs. the Pirates. If you take out his poor start on the road vs. the Braves and he has a 1.57 ERA over his last 4 starts. Brewers will face Ross Ohlendorf making his first start since April as he spent time in the minors this year and a 4.44 K/9 ratio and 2.96 BB/9 ratio in AAA is not going to get anyone out at this level especially the way the Brewers are hitting. Prince Fielder has 2 HR in 10 at bats off him and the Pirates are 8-19 in his last 27 starts.
This line is interesting Cueto has dominated teams this year with a 1.96 ERA during night games and 2.32 ERA on the road. Now he faces a Marlins team that has been just awful I mean awful vs. RHP. They are 16-38 in their last 54 vs. RH starts and 6-25 in their last 31 home vs. RH starters. Nolasco goes for the Marlins and he's been good at home but over his last 4 starts he's given up 39 hits and 3 walks over just 24.2 IP. Reds are scoring over 5 runs per game over their last 10 games and should have the bullpen advantage in this one too as the Marlins have a 5.27 in their last 10. Florida is more of a team that hits well vs. lefties at home and Cueto is fighting for Cy Young consideration.
We had Texas last night and we will back them yet again as the Boston injuries are bad ones that will hurt them once again. Rangers have also dominated John Lackey who has a 5.80 ERA on the road and has not faced a solid team on the road in quite a while as he faced the Mariners in his last road start. Hamilton, Kinsler, Young, and Murphy are a combined 60-150 off Lackey for a .400 average. Boston has just a .211 average vs. Colby Lewis with a .684 OPS. Last time at Texas Lackey gave up 9 ER and 10 hits in just 3.2 IP. His last 2 raod starts combined 20 hits in just 11.2 IP.
