Love the Rangers to bounce back and win tonight's game after losing two times to the Sox over the past two days. First things first Red Sox have never faced Alexi Ogando who has been great at home which is hard to say in Texas as the RAngers have the best home OPS making it known this is a hitters park. But Ogando is 7-2 with a 3.33 ERA and is 10-3 with a 3.24 ERA during night starts. Red Sox can hit as they've shown in this series, but Ogando should have them under control early. Andrew Miller makes the start for the Sox and that's where my play really comes in because Miller has been awful, but nobody is noticing. Miller has a 4.99 ERA and a 1.81 WHIP it could totally be worse. IT's his first time facing the Rangers, but this is not a good spot for the youngster on the road vs. an angry Rangers team that at home is hitting .294 with 7.07 runs per 9 vs. LHP. I expect the Rangers to get 5 runs off him. Miller really has not faced any good teams that can hit lefties in his 9 starts with an average opponent ranked 16th in OPS vs. LHP. Only team he faced in the top 10 was the Rays and they knocked him around for 7 ER in just 2.2 IP. Look for the Rangers to get back in the win column they are #5 vs. LHP this year and as I mentioned they ironically hit lefties at home better than they hit righties. Miller pitching over his head which is obvious by his 5.55 BB/9 and low 6.10 K/9 ratio. Texas is 22nd in walks this year so they are very aggressive which I think might go on to hurt Miller here today because he's stressing throwing stirkes. look for him to leave a few over the plate to get a head of guys, but the Rangers lineup will be ready. Sox are 4-11 in their last 15 in Texas and the Rangers are 14-6 in their last 20 home vs. LH starters. Lastly Miller during night starts opponents are hitting .333 so it's not just the walks he has a 6.61 ERA during the night.
