The perception on the Missouri Tigers could not be any lower at the moment. They scored 3, 6, and 3 points in their last 3 SEC games, but those were all against top 40 defenses and arguably 3 of the top 5 defenses in the SEC in Vanderbilt, Georgia, and Florida. With that said Miss State still has a very good defense ranking 32nd in total yards allowed, but they haven't exactly had the toughest schedule. The perception is that this team is as good as last year, but that simply is not true. I also like the fact that Missouri is coming off the bye week which allows them to come up with a few schemes that should help the offense as we all know they need it. Miss State really does not need to scheme as they feel good about themselves putting up 40+ points in each of their last 3 games.
Miss State is about to face the best defense they have faced all year. The 40+ points in their last 3 is way inflated. They have played Kentucky ranked in 90th in defense, Louisiana Tech and Troy. Missouri is ranked 3rd in yards per play allowed, and they'll be at home. MIss State struggled in their other 3 games vs. SEC opponents who also had bad defenses (exception LSU), putting up 17 against Auburn and Texas A&M. We have an extremely low total here with Vegas expecting a low scoring game, and giving 8 points to the dog with the better defense I'll jump on board every time.
