Love the Sox here as dogs as they continue to score runs and over their last 5 they are scoring 6.33 vs. LHP and they have dominated Ricky Romero who has an ERA of 10.62 in his 5 career home starts vs. the Red Sox. The Sox have a .355 average and a 1.034 OPS vs. Romero over their career and Andrew MIller will bounce back from a poor start as the Jays are scoring 3.49 runs per 9 vs. LHP over their last 10 games. He's 5-1 with a 3.32 ERA on the road this year.
Phillies are the hotter team right now and I think they have clearly the better pitching here as Cole Hamels > Chris Narverson. Hamels in his career has an ERA under 2 over his last 5 vs. the Brewers and collectively they have a .215 average vs. Hamels over 121 at bats while the Phillies have a .838 OPS in 49 at bats vs. Narverson. Hamels also dominated at this point in the year as he's 10-5 over the last 3 years in September with a 2.76 ERA. Phillies are 30-11 in their last 41 vs. the NL Central and the Brewers are 7-19 in their last 26 as a home dog 3-7 in Narverson's last 10 as a dog.
Dbacks go with Ian Kennedy at home who has a 2.93 ERA and ARizona has a .341 average and 1.145 OPS vs. Corey Luebke who has pitched over his head all year long and he's entering new territory as he is not used to pitching this many innings at this point of the year. He's got a 6.57 ERA and he faces a red hot Dbacks team hitting .330 vs. LHP over their last 10 games and are a good home team vs. LHP. Padres are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings and Kennedy has dominated the Padres this year with a 2.07 ERA.
