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Last week I played on the Tigers at home against Miss State, and it didn’t look bad at the half 14-13, but they went on to struggle in the second half, couldn’t get off the field, but there was a positive that came out of the game. The running game was excellent rushing for 200+ yards, and Missouri is 10-4-1 ATS following a performance like that in their last 15. They are also 18-7 ATS following an ATS loss, they are 2-7 ATS on the season. We could not be getting more value at the right time. I also think this team will play inspired football considering they were getting ready to boycott this game, because of the racial injustice on their campus. The President was fired and Missouri will have all their players and I think it’s pretty ironic they go up against BYU that is well known for their anti-gay policy in Prov which is part of their school code. I don’t even know if any of the players know about that, but if Gary Pinkel is smart he brings it up. Either way this team is going to be happy and inspired to get back on the field and not take anything for granted. They also need wins here to get back to a bowl game.

BYU on the other hand has issues on their offensive line and a couple of guys are questionable. That’s a big problem against Missouri who is 14th in pass rush, BYU 81st in protecting their QB. They are even worse on the road and this game will be played at the Chiefs football stadium Arrowhead. Still a home game for Missouri that I expect them to win with their running game. BYU is allowing 4.9 yards per carry on the road 3.9 overall similar to Miss State. BYU’s offense not nearly as good as Miss State, and they have an inexperienced QB that Missouri can force turnovers with. I may play the money line here as well, but I really like the Tigers in this match up.

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