Dolphins have continued to run the ball and play mistake free football and their defense has played great. They're better than the Eagles in my opinion right now. Now the Eagles get back Vick, but that did not matter in the beginning of the year. I'll take Bush and Daniel Thomas to have huge days running up the middle on an Eagles defense allowing 4.3 yards per carry. Philly has given the ball up 29 times this year and I bet that will come into play yet again here today. Matt Moore has been playing fantastic 61.5% 9 TD to just 4 INT and he's got a 90 QB rating.
I can't help but back this team at home even vs. the Texans who are getting a lot of love because of their defense. However, no Andre Johnson yet again and they have rookie Yates in the game who only completed 50% of his passes a week ago. He was big on 3rd down completing 50% for 1st downs but that will change on the road vs. the Bengals defense which can stop both the run and the pass. In fact the Bengals are #3 in the NFL in run defense on a yard allowed per rush, allowing just 3.6 yards per carry while the Ravens are right ahead of them. Texans aren't the same when they can't run and they lost at Baltimore 14-29 earlier in the year. I like the Bengals in this one as they get a much needed win. Bengals only allowing 35% 3rd down conversions so I expect Yates to now struggle. Look for a low scoring game. Texans are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 as dogs.
This is like the Panthers Super Bowl. Why, because it's a divisional game and they are trying to prove they can compete in this division now and for the future. They certainly can in my opinion and the FAlcons are struggling on offense right now they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 as a favorite while the Pantehrs are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 after scoring 30+ in previous game. They'll get revenge on the Falcons who they lost to after being tied 17-17 on the road. Cam threw 3 INT's in that game but he's a totally different QB since week 6. He's thrown an interception in just 2 of his last 6 games. This is a balanced attack that the Falcons will give up points to. They've also been on the road for 3 straight weeks and now they get back home and I think it'll be a big win for them.
