I like the Longhorns here, and would like them even larger if they were healthier at RB, but I don’t think it matters against Texas Tech. Texas has had a good rushing attack all season with Heard at QB throwing defenses off, and Texas Tech is among one of the worst defenses I have ever seen. Texas has more to play for, and I think these players step up to keep their bowl hopes alive with Baylor on deck. Texas has shown abilities to score a lot of points this season against bad defenses, and they have played much better at home.
In reality I don’t like either coach here, but Kingsbury has not shown me anything than an ability to run his mouth. He’s 0-3 from last year off extra rest, he typically has an easier schedule, and he’s lost in convincing fashion the last two years against Texas and that’s because Texas has been able to run the ball with consistency. Texas becomes a hard team to beat if you put them in that situation, and they have 5.48 yards per carry at home this season, and have rushed for 5.78 in their wins vs. 4.25 in their loses. I don’t know that Tech has that ability to stop Texas offense with extra prep time. I really doubt it and I have more faith in Texas defense to stop Tech’s offense for a couple of reasons.

Texas has played better defense overall and has hold conference opponents to 3.87 yards per carry. They also possess something that most Big 12 teams don’t, a pass rush ranking top 10. Only Oklahoma can claim that. Actually a good pass rush is what Texas Tech struggles against going just 2-6 straight up in the Kingsbury era.

Some other things popped out to me when looking at this match up other than the fact that the general public is so far down on Texas right now. Texas has actually played better at home, better in conference play. Tech’s offense and defense have played worse, their red zone defense and 3rd down defense in conference play and on the road are very concerning, they turn the ball over too much, their special teams is 51 points worse than Texas from an efficiency perspective, and they are penalized 1.5x more per conference game.

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