Let’s not give Michigan State too much credit here. They’re 11-1 they have played a tougher schedule, but in reality they have been one of the luckiest teams in the country ranking 7th in luck, but they might have met their match as Iowa ranked 2nd in luck. Obviously I’m not going to back either team based on luck, but I just wanted to point out that Michigan State is over rated. Michigan State should have gotten beat by Michigan, Oregon had wide open guys running free in the secondary and were a terrible team at the time, they should have lost to Ohio State, and they lost to Nebraska. I’m not going to over react to one week with Penn State getting crushed 55-16.

Iowa is a solid game and although I worry about Connor Cook having a good game against this Iowa secondary I think Iowa can be sneaky good. They’ll allow yards, but also force you into mistakes. They have allowed 104 QB rating in conference play with just 7 TD’s and have 12 interceptions. Everyone that says this team does not have any big wins is disrespecting the Big 10. I thought the win at Wisconsin was a bit lucky, but similar to the game they will have today against Michigan State. Their win at Northwestern 40-10 was overwhelming, Northwestern only went 10-2 and beat Stanford and their win against Nebraska off a bye last week was extremely impressive. Nebraska was not a 5-7 team. They had some difficulties closing games from the start and had a lot of bad luck along the way.

Michigan State’s defense is not that good they rank 43rd in yards per play defense, and their run defense which is where they have had a lot of success over the years has gotten worse over the past 5 years. In 2011 they allowed 2.98 ypc in conference play with 9 TD, 2012 3.64 and 4TD. 2013 they again allowed 2.97 and 5 TDs, 2014, 3.73 and 13 TD’s and finally this year 3.82 and 10 TDs. This team has struggled to get any stops in the red zone allowing 72.73% TD’s in conference play.

Where to find Freddy?