I like the Brewers in this start particularly because of the success they have had vs. Edinson Volquez. Over 8 career starts he's 3-2 with a 5.94 ERA vs. the Brewers. Ryan Braun who nearly had 4 HR in last night's game which is quite the accomplishment considering the make up of Petco Park is 7-19 with a HR off Volquez. The Brewers are a combined .323 in 96 AB with a 1.010 OPS vs. Volquez. Milwaukee is also 16th with a .725 OPS vs. RHP this season while San Diego is 24th with a .655 OPS. San Diego over their last 5 are hitting just .183 and scoring just 1.86 runs per 9 vs. RHP this season and their bullpen has been an issue of late with a 6.23 ERA over their last 5. What's usually a strength has not been as they are 22nd in bullpen ERA on the year.

Brewers on the other hand have started to hit and should have every opportunity again vs. Volquez. With Marcum who had a 2.21 ERA on the road last year and is off to a solid start I"m convinced the Brewers will put themselves in great position for a W. The Padres have just a .651 OPS vs. Marcum in 56 AB. Padres are also 14-38 in their last 52 as a home dog while the Brewers are 19-7 in their last 26 as a road favorite. With the small line I'm convinced we have great value here as I see the Brewers cruising.

Where to find Freddy?