Twins bats vs. RHP have been worse than the Mariners and though they have an experienced pitcher in Blackburn on the mound vs. inexperienced Hector Noesi I still like Seattle here for many reasons. First of all Blackburn is a home pitcher. He's been so bad on the road the last two season 5.60 ERA last year and 7.57 the year before. The Twins are just 16-35 in his last 51 road starts and 6-22 when he is on 5 days rest. The Twins are hitting just .186 vs. RHP on the road and are last in OPS overall vs. RHP with a .628 OPS. Meanwhile Seattle is not much better but they are scoring more than a run better per 9 and their bullpen has a solid advantage as well. Twins over the last 5 games have been even worse vs. RHP hitting .062. I don't even know how that's possible. But their bullpen has played poorly 5.28 ERA over the last 5 as well. Seattle has 105 AB a .352 average and a .907 OPS vs. Blackburn and I see them knocking him out around the 5th inning. Hector Noesi, I see going further especially since the Twins have never seen him pitch. He has a high ERA but he's faced 4 top 15 RHP hitting teams including #1, and #7. His game against Oakland 29th vs. RHP was a gem at home 8 IP 0 ER. He's got the ability and I see him putting up a QS for a win here today at home.
