1-7 ATS their last 8, Chiefs 7-1 ATS their last 8, but I’m going to back the Browns here. Manziel looked good against Seattle despite his team losing 30-13. This is the second week in a row that the Browns are double digit dogs, and the second week in a row that the Chiefs are double digit favorites. The Chiefs were 10.5 point favorites against San Diego and nearly got taken to OT as their offense scored just 10 points. This is a conservative coaching staff and again will be in a MUST win game and we should expect nothing more than a conservative approach. I expect the Browns to play hard, and I don’t think they have mailed it in. Manziel wants to prove something down the stretch, and I think this is far too many points not to get excited about.


F
If there was ever a spot for a team to get up 1 last time in a game it’s this one for the Falcons. The Panthers are also very banged up from last week. 13-0 teams or better have not done well ATS going back 1980 are 1-12 ATS and 0-11 when laying 4 or more points. Falcons were shutout in embarrassing fashion by Carolina just a couple of weeks ago and you bet this Atlanta team remembers. This Carolina defense is beatable, and I think Atlanta will have a good game and be in a position to win and give Carolina their first loss. In fact I’m going to wager a bit on the money line because I think it’s some good value.


I like the Bucs here to bounce back, they are a young team with a lot to play for. This is a team that really wants to end the year on a high note. I have a lot of respect for what the Bears have done this year with Cutler and Fox as the new coach, but heading to Tampa is not easy this time of year. Weather calls for temperatures in the upper 80’s and that should benefit the Buccaneers. The Bears are also very weak against the run which is the strength of this Bucs team. The Bucs are also 9-2 ATS in their last 11 following an ATS loss, 4-1 ATS after their last 5 following a SU loss, and are on revenge here.

Where to find Freddy?