I'm going with the team that is home and the pitcher that's been more consistent. Ricky Romero has struggled with control at times, but the Orioles are 18th in BB's and Romero has a 1.11 ERA in his last 3 vs. the Orioles and is 6-1 with a 2.08 ERA since the 2010 series. Jake Arieta is 3-1 with a 3.80 ERA, but he's given up 7 ER in his two starts in Toronto along with 4 HR. I see much of the same happening here tonight. The Orioles are 13-42 in their last 55 at Toronto. They've hit lefties hard, but their #1 and #2 hitters are a combined 4-32 against Romero. Romero will be able to pitch around this line up as the Blue Jays hurt Arieta whose struggles (0-3, 7.15 ERA over last 4 starts) will continue.

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