I'm going with the Yankees here today although they are 0-7 in their last 7 visits to Tampa I believe they have too many advantages and with this kind of value it is hard to pass up a big play. Garcia will make his first start since being sent to the bullpen where he has thrived with a 1.56 ERA. Garcia struggled as a starter earlier this year, but he faces a Rays team he has dominated over his career. He has posted a 1.32 ERA over his last two visits to Tampa and collectively the Rays have just a .540 OPS in 127 AB against him. Rays are currently 23rd with a .698 OPS vs. RHP and 20th at home with a .673 OPS so Garcia should be in good shape for a quality start. Especially since the Rays are losers of 6 of 7 being out scored 39-17.
Matt Moore on the other hand has been pretty good of late, but he's on 4 days rest in this game for the first time since May 22nd where he threw just 4.2 innings giving up 4 ER. Moore has faced some light hitting teams of late ranked 22nd, 13, 18th twice over his last 4 starts in terms of OPS vs. LHP. He will have his hands full the second time around vs. the Yankees. I don't trust Moore's stuff for one he struggles with control walking 4.3 batters per 9 and he's giving up 1.33 HR/9. Yankees are #1 in HR and #3 in BB's. Moore throws just 3 pitches and he throws the fastball 70% of the time where the Yankees are ranked #1 vs. that pitch. Yankees are 45-20 in their last 65 vs. LH starter. Garcia on the other side has a 4.03 xFIP and has much more control walking just 2.32 guys per 9.
