Yankees -109 4.5* MLB POD
For a third day in a row we are going with the world’s most famous franchise. I typically do not like betting these guys as you rarely see value on them.  However, it’s a third day in a row we see value and if it wasn’t for Mark Teixera’s late error we could be talking about going 3-0.  The Yankees in my opinion have a distinct advantage and the odds are in our favor as well.
 
For one James Shields has 23 career starts vs. the Yankees with a 5-13 record and a 4.55 ERA.  The Yankees have gone 16-7 in his 23 starts and despite dominating some of the Yankee hitters Shields has struggled vs. some of the better hitters specifically Robinson Cano who is 27-65 with a .415 average 4HR.  However, more importantly in 3 starts this year he’s got nearly a 2.00 WHIP in just 16 IP allowing 14 ER vs. the Yankees.  Meaning the Yankees are figuring him out and  I think that trend continues.  If it doesn’t the Yankees still have Ivan Nova on the mound who is 12-0 with a 3.17 ERA in his last 16 road games. The Yankees are also 6-0 in all 6 of his starts vs. the Rays posting a 2.82 ERA.
 
Againt he Yankees huge advantage they are 2nd in OPS vs. RHP and 2nd on the road in OPS while the Rays are 100 points behind in each category ranking 23rd vs. RHP and 26th at home.  The Rays were 29th with a .640 OPS last month and I don’t see that changing until Evan Longoria comes back.  Nova has dominated this team holding Upton, Joyce, Zobrist and Pena to a 7-54 mark.  Complete line up has his .169 with a .573 OPS vs. Nova in 118 AB.  Nova has pitched well of late posting a 1.26 ERA in June and he’s got a 1.80 in 2 starts this year vs. the Rays.  The Yankees will end their losing streak in Tampa tonight.

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