It took a blown call at home plate, a blown save and an error for us to lose our POD yesterday with the Cardinals, but we return today with the Reds and I'm confident we are on the right side. Arroyo is off to a fast start with a 2.91 ERA and over his last 6 starts vs. the Giants he posts a 1.81 ERA. The Reds go up against Barry Zito who they have plenty of success against. in fact they have 111 AB .333 average and a 1.002 OPS vs. Zito who has not pitched well on the road overall nonetheless he's 0-2 in his last 5 with a 7.20 ERA in Cinci.
Zito too is off to a great start but he has faced some bad hitting teams and though the Reds are 15th in OPS vs. lhp thus far they were 4th in the league last year with a .794. Reds are hot with the bats right now scoring 25 runs over their last 3 games and. At home this year they are hitting .358 vs. LHP and the Giants have a 5.34 ERA out of their bullpen on the road while the Reds bullpen has been decent. Reds are 15-5 in their last 20 as a home favorite and Bruce/Phillips/Subbs have been dominant vs. Zito who is out performing his abilities as his xFIP 4.60 confirms his 1.71 era is only early luck.
