I love the Twins in this spot, first of all they are scoring just 2.81 runs per 9 vs. LHP at home and are 19-41 in their last 60 home games vs. LH starters. Scott Diamond is really up and coming and he's #1 in BB/9. The Mariners are 3-10 vs. LHP in the top 25 in BB/9 as those starters have posted a 2.92 ERA against them. The better the control the better they pitched and Diamond is one of the best at controlling his pitches. He's also on 5 days rest in this one facing a Mariners team that for the year is 28th vs. LHP in OPS and is 30th with a .615 OPS this August. Meanwhile Jason Vargas who has been great at home goes up against the Twins who are 9th with a .766 OPS vs. LHP and are 13th with a .742 in August. The Twins bullpen has a 2.88 ERA over their last 10 games while the Mariners come in at 4.61. I like this match up and the value we get here at +119.

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