The Yankees are getting good value here even though Ivan Nova comes off the disable list he seems to be 100% and over his last 4 starts vs. the Rays he's got a 1.88 ERA while the Yankees are #1 in OPS vs. RHP and during day games the Rays are 26th in OPS vs. RHP and 20th during day games. The Yankees will face a familiar face in James Shields who is in hte top 25 in HR allowed this year and he's allowed 19 against the Yankees hitters in his career. He's also on extra rest following a complete game. In both of his road starts this year at Yankee Stadium he came off 5 days rest and it didn't help as he allowed 8 ER in 11 innings. Shields is red hot right now and you would think the Rays would -130 or so with Shields on the mound and Nova coming off the disable list, but his splits do not favor the match up with the Yankees. As left handed hitters dominate with 17 HR this year and he's also given up 13 HR on the road in less innings than what he's done at home. Well the Yankees are at home and will have a ton of lefties in the line up. Shields is also in the top 20 in HR/FB ratio with a 13.2% ratio... The Yankees are a fly ball hitting team and this is the match up they want and I think they'll win.

Where to find Freddy?