Marlins in a rare spot to get a win for Josh Johnson who has absolutely dominated the Braves over his career. This line is way off and add in the fact that the Braves are in a hang over spot after clinching the playoffs after a walk off win and I feel confident that Johnson will pitch a gem tonight and get a win. Johnson has a 2.29 ERA in three starts this year anda 2.29 in 19 appearances vs. the Braves in his career including a career 1.49 ERA at Atlanta. How he's a +135 under dog is public perception.. I don't see Atlanta having a ton to play for down the stretch. 4 games out of the division they are unlikely to catch the Nationals. Atlanta also has not hit that well lately with just a .196 average in their last 10 vs. RHP.


The Mariners are losers of 11 of 16 while the Angels are winners of 23 of 32 and I feel confident we are getting good odds here based on the Angels success this year vs. King Felix who has yet to throw a quality start against them. Part of the difference has been Trumbo,Trout and Pujols who all have homered off Felix and are combined 16-51. The Angels have two other hitters that are hitting over .300 vs. Felix in Morales and Hunter. I expect that to be a difference maker with Wilson on the mound who should be fresh in this one. The Mariners are 25th in OPS vs. LHP this year and have struggled vs. Wilson who posts a 1.53 ERA over his last 5 starts vs. the Mariners. Seattle is also just 17-42 in their last 59 against the Angels.

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