I like the Colts off the bye to win one for their coach. The Packers are getting a lot of respect here for last year and this line is not accurate and off by a field goal in my opinion. The Colts have played very well at home arguably beating two playoff teams already in the Bengals and the Vikings who have both played very well this year.
The key to the game is protection and playing at home in a dome the Colts have the major advantage as they should be able to terrorize Aaron Rodgers. The Colts have the 11th best sack % in the league and they are 9th at home with an 8.20 % sack. Rodgers offensive line had major problems in his only road game at Seattle so expect similar things to happen here today. Unlike the Seahawks the Colts have a capable offense. For one they have Andrew Luck and he continues to develop and get better. The Colts are already 10th in third down offense to the Packers 11th ranking.
The Packers have not played well at home this year and last week we saw their poor pass defense show up that haunted them all last year as Drew Brees threw for 446 yards. The Packers struggle in the red zone as they are 21st in TD % and it could be worse considering they held the Seahawks to no TD's in the red zone and we all know how bad that offense is down in the red zone. The Colts meanwhile have been effectively stopping opponents in the red zone at home holding them to 40% touch downs which is good for 9th in the league in home stats and they faced capable offenses with weapons from the Vikings and Bengals.
