Don't miss out on tonight's as we continue to dominate the midweek and the season as we are on a 19-10 ATS run in college football. Tonight's battle is backed by a full in depth analysis or one day is FREE Guaranteed!


The home dog is not always the answer and tonight is one of those times it’s not in my opinion. One thing has been consistent all year for the Rajin Cajuns. When they can run the ball they win the game in dominating fashion. Tonight they face a North Texas team that’s vulnerable to the run. Norht Texas is 118th allowing 5.8 ypc while the Cajuns are 23rd with 5.2 ypc in their balanced offense that will give North Texas issues. The Mean Green showed an inability to stop both against Houston. ULL vs. bottom tier run defenses – FIU, Tulane, Troy (ranked 71st, 115th, and 73rd), and won by a combined score of 126-57. With North Texas liking to run the ball nearly 56% of the time this game starts with the run and Laffayette has a considerable advantage up front ranking 18th run defense too. So this creates an issue for third down assuming the Cajuns have more success running the ball than North Texas.

North Texas will have many more 3rd and longs and they are ranked 110th with a 30.56% third down conversion rate. On defense they are ranked 105th in stopping teams on third down. Lafayette comes off a game in which they were finally able to convert on third down going 7-14 against Tulane and I think that carries over as they should also have success passing the ball under their new QB making his third start in Terrance Broadway who is a dual threat and has been very good. He goes up against a pass defense that has also played poorly – 122nd in completion % defense allowing opponents to complete nearly 70% of passes and they rarely get sacks. The Cajuns have only allowed 4 sacks the entire season so there are not a lot of opportunities for negative plays.

Lastly because both offensive lines play well this game could come down to turnovers and the Cajuns are ranked 12th at +1.2 turnovers per game while North Texas is 51st at +0.2/game. Overall I’m confident in the Cajuns stopping North Texas offense and they should be able to do what they want with their running game first setting up the pass. Broadway will have another good day leading his team.

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