I really like the Pats here in this spot given the fact that they are off the bye, getting healthier and off 2 straight losses. The Patriots will return some key guys for this one including LT Volmer who protects Brady’s blind side. I also think this team will be coached up to handle the Chiefs blitz schemes and will have a good game plan to move the ball and put points on the board.
For the Chiefs they come in red hot, and off a 30-0 victory last week. Very impressive we cashed with the Chiefs as well but 8 of their 11 wins during this streak have been against the bottom teams in the league. The 3 wins were against teams that were arguably not at their best. Texans win was very easy to see when we saw Hoyer turning the ball over so many times. The Patriots have just 14 turnovers on the year the fewest among any team in the NFL. The Chiefs heavily rely on winning the turnover margin and are 0-4 ATS when they don’t this year.

KC also beat Pittsburgh, but they beat them with Landry Jones at QB the 3rd string QB. They then also beat the Broncos, but again the Broncos had Osweiler making his first start in that game. Winning 11 games straight in the NFL is not easy by any stretch, but KC certainly had a lot of luck along the way. They also are more banged up here with 2 offensive lineman being out, and Jeremy Maclin being questionable. Maclin is their only deep threat, and with Kelce the only other threat in the passing game will make it very difficult for the Chiefs to move the ball. I’d be shocked if they got to 20 points, and I see the Patriots scoring 24-31 here. Also worth noting is what happened last year when these two met in KC where the Chiefs blew the Patriots out and everyone was saying the Patriots were done. I’m sure somehow that is motivating to someone with the Patriots and it will show up tomorrow.

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