Miami has not been a good home team for a while now going just 22-51-1 ATS in their last 74 and now they are favorites by nearly a TD their biggest number in almost three years? I don't think the Titans are nearly as bad as they showed last week against the Bears which was a complete disaster and their owner Bud Adams lashed out at his team all week and I think the Titans players and coaching staff will be playing with some desperation on Sunday. Dolphins are also coming off a tough loss, but they have a short week and a division opponent up next Thursday that they'll be looking ahead to.
If you take out last weeks result the Titans are a very similar team to the Dolphins. The Titans have the better offense while the Dolphins have the better defense, but the Dolphins pass defense has just been awful. With Jake Locker coming back and providing a spark to the team I think it will be a big day for the Titans offense who have talented receivers that can beat the Dolphins with regularity on Sunday. On the flip side there is this idea that Miami can run the ball well they are ranked 28th in ypc with just 3.7 ypc on the season and 3.2 in their last three while the Titans should find more balance with Chris Johnson who is starting to pick things up of late.
This just is not a crucial game for the Broncos as it is out of conference as the Broncos also are looking ahead to two divisional games that follow this week including next week against the Chargers their main competition. The Broncos are 11-23 ATS the week before facing the Chargers. I think the Panthers are a good match up as they have not given up more than 1 passing TD in 7 of 8 games and that's partially due to being 4th in sack % which should mean Peyton Manning handing the ball off a ton in this one.
The Broncos could easily be 0-4 on the road as the Bengals had a 4th quarter lead last week, the Chargers had a 24-0 lead at the half and they lost to both the Falcons and Patriots. The Panthers are still top 10 in red zone TD %, but this game really comes down to Cam Newton taking care of the ball. The Broncos are not a top 10 defense on the road and he should be able to move the ball and avoid big mistakes. The Panthers are 7-1 when he does not turn the ball over and 1-15 when he does.
