Both teams will be starting their back up QB's here and even though the Bears Jason Campbell has more experience I"m giving the 49ers who are just far less reliant on their QB a huge edge. The 49ers have never asked Alex Smith to win games and now that he's out they actually get a new wrinkle with Colin Kaepernick in there who can be explosive in the running game.
That's the key right there the running game and the 49ers are far more dominant at running the ball than the Bears. 49ers are ranked 1st overall and average over 6 yards per carry at home. The Bears are ranked 29th on the road in ypc allowed and they have faced rushing offenses on the road ranked 25th, 32nd, 31st, and 5th. I'm very sketpikal on their gap integrity and ability to stop this rushing attack tonight. They are ranked 18th overall and are allowing 4.8 ypc on the road. The Bears have relied too much on forcing turnovers and when they face teams that do not give the ball away they lose. 49ers are 5th in the league with fewest turnovers. The Bears have played two other teams like that and lost both to the Texans (at home), and Packers (on the road).
49ers also can stop the run much better than the Bears can ranked 3rd in the league and their defense has been tested by several top 10 teams especially at home already. San Fran has actually improved their red zone TD% this year ranked 7th, while Chicago has done a poor job ranked 44th and scoring just 36% TD's on the road. The ability of Campbell will only reduce that especially given how great the 49ers run defense has been.
