Citadel will take on Samford who just came off a road victory as a +15 under dog. That was a huge win for a program that lost at home in the previous game to Chattanooga by 4 points the same team Citadel lost to in their last game by 5 so I feel comfortable with the 4.5 points we are getting here especially since Samford just came off a huge win.
Citadel is also a better rebounding team as Samford is ranked 338th with a 43.6% total rebound rate. They have also shown the ability to shoot FT's better than Samford by a far margin as they are shooting 80% at home from the charity stripe. Meanwhile their biggest weakness is turnovers averaging 17.4 per game. A lot of that came against some stiff competition, but here today they face Samford's guards who are only forcing 10.5 turnovers per game and rank 224th in the nation in turnovers forced per possession at 19.3%.
