I'm fading Virginia who is in a huge hang over game here. BC already has gone 5-0 ATS as a home dog this year and nearly beat Duke and Miami, losing by 1 point to both. They would love to get revenge against Virginia who beat them by 14 in the first meeting. The first game Virginia shot 56.2% from field and attempted 81% of their shots from two. BC is much better at defending the paint at home, roughly an 8.6% swing. BC should also get to the FT line a lot more and their offensive production can only go up from where they were in the first game where they shot just 36.2% from the field. Virginia's defense is not great on the road allowing 46.4%. Virginia is also 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 road games while BC is 17-8-1 ATS following a loss.
NC State has been awful on the road going just 2-6. Georgia Tech lost the first match up, but this game will be different because of their defense. NC State will attempt nearly 80% of their shots from two and that plays into the strength of this Georgia Tech team. They are ranked 25th in 2 point % defense allowing 41.5% at home. NC State shot lights out the first game and that won't happen again. Looking at the home and away splits there is a good chance that Georgia Tech could also win the TO battle, rebound batter and FTA battle and could win the game.
