Kyle Lohse was dominant for the Cardinals last year, but I feel this year will be quite different for the flyball pitcher. He faces his old team this year and if you forgotten how much Beltran owned him you'll remember tonight. IN fact Beltran, Molina and Holliday are 29-52 with 4 HR combined and all of them carry an OPS over .900. That will make it very difficult to pitch around tonight especially with the winds blowing out and the fact that Lohse is backed by the leagues worst bullpen.
The Cardinals send their young arm to the mound in Shelby Miller who we have seen glimpses of his domination. He's a hard thrower with a nice curve ball and I expect Milwaukee to be behind early since they have not seen him before. Milwaukee is still without two of their better hitters in Corey Hart and Aramis Ramirez which won't help. Milwaukee was 24th in BB's on the road which won't help them get on base against Miller whose greatest weakness as a young pitcher is control. I expect him to bounce back at home and dominate tonight. The Cardinals are also 19-9 in their last 28 meetings with the Brewers.
I think there is a ton of value considering the total has gone under this number in the last 4 meetings between these two. This will also be a playoff type atmospher as the Pacers who are known for their defense any way are just two games behind the Knicks for the #2 seed while the Nets are trying to also stay in the #4 spot to keep home court advantage. The Nets on the road playing a good team has usually resulted in the game going under the total in fact 20 times in the last 28 meetings vs. teams with a home record of .600 or better.
