Giants -145 5* MLB POD
Patrick Corbin has been great to start the year with a 1.42 ERA over 3 starts including a dream start last time out at Yankee Stadium with 7 innings 1 ER. I see a let down for the 23 year old today, also the Yankees are ranked 28th vs. LHP in OPS to start the year. Also just how good has Corbin been? Well not very good when you look at his stats he's got jsut 6.16 K/9, 3.32 BB/9, .226 BABIP, and 91.8 LOB% The .226 and 91.8% go hand in hand in saying he's been a little lucky. His xFIP concurs at 4.09 so I think he comes into this start with too much value thus we have value on Matt Cain. Corbin also had 2 starts in San Francisco last year and he had two bad starts allowing 10 ER in 8 IP. Cain meanwhile only allowed 7 ER in 4 starts with 3 of the 4 being in Arizona last year. His home start he only allowed 4 hits and 0 ER over 7 innings.

Giants are 10-3 in their last 13 vs. Dbacks with Cain on the mound. I also like the way their bullpen has been dominating of late with a 2.33 ERA over their last 10 and a 1.26 ERA at home where they are scoring 6.31 runs per 9 vs. LHP. Posey is also heating up which should help greatly vs. LHP as he has 2 HR in the last 2 games.

Celtics +7 (3.3* NBA POD)
Game 1 was played close the entire with the Knicks pulling the trigger late to win by 7. I see more of the same as the Celtics can easily win this game considering the Knicks are a 1 man shooting shop. Yes, JR Smith can catch fire, but generally not against the better defensive teams. The Knicks were extremely lucky that Carmello had some wide open three point shots he was able to step into. I don't anticipate that happening again with Doc as the coach. I also think the Celtics will use their bench more in this game which should lead to a more balanced game

Where to find Freddy?


site design / logo © 2008 - 2024 freddywills.com