***WHAT'S ON DECK FOR WEEK #4 FOR #1 CAREER LEADER FOR CFB!***
MAX Rated POD - 79-46 ATS (63.2%) on my TOP RATED PLAYS! - 15-7 ATS Career Backing This Team!
TEASER OF THE WEEK - 2-0 THIS YEAR & 23-5 SINCE 2014!
TOTAL OF THE WEEK - 57% ATS CAREER
71% CAREER BACKING 1 TEAM!
42-28 ATS Career in Week 4
*Games involved: Florida State / South Florida , Florida / Tennessee, Oklahoma State / Baylor, Arkon /App State, VAnderbilt / Western Kentucky / Arkansas / Texas A&M, LSU/Auburn!
I feel very confident in the under. I did not like the side in this one originally leaning towards USC because of line value, but they have too many issues right now. Off the field, on the field. First of all this offense now facing another physically defense that knows how to play fundamental football is going to give them issues. I don't care how athletic these receivers are or about the QB change. USC is having issues on the offensive line and they are going to have issues scoring TD's in this game.
Utah on the other hand already having issues scoring points that are a bit hidden. They have had red zone issues with just 42.86% TD rate in the red zone, and they will slow this game down leaning on the run with nearly 60% of their play calls in the running game. This running game is not nearly as good as last years, but that is where they can win this game, because USC is a little soft in their front 7. Both Alabama and Stanford had a ton of success running the ball on this team. Utah certainly does not have as good of an offense and USC actually held Alabama to 10 points until Max Brown threw a pick 6 to end the half in week 1. USC's defense is better than it has looked, and I think the fact that both teams are slowing it down makes for a low scoring game. Utah 99th in the nation in plays per game while USC comes in at 80th, with even less plays on the road. Utah has a ton of faith in the secondary which is probably the only place USC has a significant advantage and the only threat to this game going over other than special teams and turnovers.
Utah's secondary at home has been very good. They already have 15 sacks on the year which does not look good for USC's offensive line. Finally the under is 9-3 in USC's last 12 road games, and 33-16-2 in their last 51 following an ATS loss.
