The big question is after 3 days off who has the advantage? Some will say the Spurs and others the Grizzlies who even though are the younger team came off a heart breaking loss in OT after they made a huge come back. Let's be honest the Spurs have dominated 7 Quarters in this series. What that means is the Grizzlies have a lot to look at and change and I believe they will have the advantage of the time off and extra preparation. Trends agree, going back to 1991 home teams in a game 3 after 3 days off are 40-23 SU and 36-27 ATS and if that team is down 2-0 they have gone 20-10 and 18-12 ATS.
I really like how the Grizzlies played in the 2nd half and the refs seem to favor the home teams while the Grizzlies took care of business all year going 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games as a favorite of 6 points or less. Tony Parker has a calf issue but will play, but there is no reason to really stretch him when they are up 2-0. Expect that once the Grizzlies have this game in hand in the 4th for the Spurs to really take the foot off the pedal and look toward game 3. I still think we have a great series ahead.
