The Spurs are 41-7 at home this season and are outscoring opponents by double digits. The Heat dominated game 2, but we have seen time and time again where opponents have made adjustments after getting beat big by the Heat. Once again Eric Spoelstra will be out coached and the Spurs will make the right adjustments to win at home. The Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 following a SU win. The Spurs are a determined bunch who still are the fresher team because they swept the Grizzlies and I think their defensive adjustments and the ability of Leonard to rebound will be the overall difference in this one. I don't expect the Heat to get any wide open three's like they did in game 2 that allowed them to pull away late in the game.
