Rays kept hitting on Tuesday and I don't see how they won't keep hitting on Wednesday. Alfredo Aceves takes the mound for the Red Sox and has walked 5.47 runners per 9 innings and has allowed 25% HR/FB and 2.95 per 9 innings. The Rays have 8 HR in the last two games and are among the most patient teams in the league. Aceves does not get anyone to swing at his pitches outside the zone and I don't see how that will change tonight against the Rays who are #1 in the lowest outside the zone swing %. They area lso ranked top 10 vs all 4 of his pitches. Meanwhile Chris Archer who does not have electrifying stuff by any means has a 2.84 ERA in 3 career home starts and faces a Red Sox team that's ranked 17th and 19th vs. the slider and change up, pitches Archer will throw enough. Boston can hit, but they have not been good against good competition going just 19-40 in their last 59 vs. a winning team and are 17-38 in their last 55 as an under dog. Rays should have an advantage in the bullpen as well as they have posted a 2.31 ERA over their last 10 games while Boston is at 4.41 and have worked hard to get there with Boston's starters unable to go deep in this series. This series has been like a playoff atmosphere and I"ll take the home team.

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