I see a ton of value on the Dbacks here tonight as under dogs at home with Wade Miley on the hill. First of all Johny Cueto's numbers are not as good as they seem. He's gotten extremely lucky in a small sample size since he's been up and down with injuries. He's got a 86.8 LOB% and a .189 BABIP along with a 2.70 BB/9 which is not that impressive. In addition the Diamondbacks hitters have a .835 OPS against him and Prada and Parra are a comibned 8-21 with 2 HR and 7 RBI. The Diamondbacks are actually 11-2 in their last 13 vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15
Miley has struggled in his last two starts at home, but he comes into this game with an extra day of rest. The Reds are hitting just .189 and scoring 1.21 runs per 9 over their last 10 vs. LHP and just 3.04 on the road this year. With the Reds struggling against LHP along with the Dbacks success against Cueto making just his 2nd start in the month of June I am think the Dbacks can pull this win off in their own building.
