Oakland really need the day off yesterday as they just capped off 30 games in 31 days and I think they will come refreshed at home where they have been dominant winning 45 of their last 61 games against RH starters. Bronson Arroyo continues to put up solid numbers, but I will continue to fade as he is bound to resort back to the mean as he has a 4.24 XFIP which is more than a run higher than his ERA. Arroyo has just 5 road starts and 10 at home and posts a 4.45 ERA on the road. Arroyo has a 1.45 WHIP over his last three games alone, but posts a 2.18 ERA so he's clearly been lucky, but the A's have been one of the more clutch teams all year and I expect him to be fighting from behind for most of the night as Tommy Milone continues to pitch well. Milone has a 2.48 ERA in 6 home starts this year and a career ERA under 3 over 23 home starts. Expect more of the same against the Reds who have struggled big time of late especially against LHP where they are hitting .203 and scoring 1.95 runs per 9 vs. LHP over their last 10 games. They are 12-25 in their last 37 road games in inter league play vs. a LH starter.
